A Capital Connection for Central Asian Mining Companies

Valuation Outlook

July 20, 2026

A Capital Connection for Central Asian Mining Companies

By Kevin Leung of Kroll and Alexander Lopatnikov of AAR

Contrary to the iconic opening of Dickens’ “A Tale of Two Cities,” it is always the best of times for mining — provided companies can secure funding. In a cyclical and unpredictable market, those who raise capital efficiently hold a decisive advantage. Capital is not merely what mining companies want; it is what they need.

Stock exchanges have long been the primary financing venues for mining companies of all sizes. Established exchanges such as the TSX and ASX now face growing competition from HKEX, driven by China’s central role as the ultimate commodities market.

A more recent and interesting trend is the emergence of partnerships of regional financial hubs in mineral-rich countries of Central Asia and HKEX. The most recent example is the signing of Memorandums of Understanding with the Astana International Exchange (AIX) and the Astana International Financial Centre (AIFC) Authority in Kazakhstan, focused on cross-border listings, commodities markets and the financing of early-stage mining projects.

In the announcement, HKEX Chief Executive Officer Bonnie Y Chan stated: “By working closely with AIX to explore cross-border listings, we are extending HKEX’s role as a connector of markets and supporting the two-way flow of capital between Hong Kong and Central Asia.” This signals HKEX’s interest in attracting Central Asian mining companies pursuing listings and IPOs in Hong Kong.

Striking Gold at a Stock Exchange

For Central Asian mining companies seeking international capital, a Hong Kong listing provides deep liquidity and access to a diverse institutional investor base. Key benefits include:

  • Diversified Global Market: HKEX actively promotes Hong Kong as a global capital market and has a strong track record with mining and natural resources issuers, including Glencore, United Company Rusal, Vale and Yancoal Australia.
  • Access to Deep Liquidity: With low interest rates in China and growing RMB internationalization, Hong Kong holds approximately RMB 1 trillion in deposits actively seeking higher-yield opportunities. Stock Connect programs enable overseas issuers to access substantial mainland capital seamlessly.
  • Currency and Geopolitical Diversification: A HKEX listing helps companies from the Global South navigate geopolitical risks and reduce reliance on a single currency, while positioning them close to Chinese commodity end users and investors familiar with Central Asian resource opportunities.

HKEX-listed mining companies include a diverse group of major Chinese companies, including China Shenhua Energy Co. Ltd., Zijin Mining Group Co., Ltd., Yankuang Energy Group Co., Ltd., China Coal Energy Co. Ltd., Aluminum Corp of China (Chalco), CMOC Group Limited, Shandong Gold Mining Co., Tianqi Lithium Corporation, Jiangxi Copper Company Ltd., Ganfeng Lithium Group Co. Ltd. and others.

Chinese mining and metallurgical companies already have a significant presence in Central Asia. This includes Zijin Mining investments in Kazakhstan (Raygorodok gold mine), Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan, as well as East Hope Group’s advancing $12.6 billion integrated aluminum cluster project in Kazakhstan. China’s cumulative FDI stock in the region reached $35.9 billion by mid-2025, according to Eurasian Development Bank data.

Geology Plus or Minus Economics

The BRE-X scandal of the 1990s prompted a fundamental overhaul of listing and disclosure rules for mining companies. Internationally accepted codes — JORC, NI 43-101 and SAMREC — were introduced to restore credibility. Hong Kong listings are governed by Chapter 18 of the Listing Rules, which establish rigorous technical and economic disclosure standards.

The Competent Person’s Report (CPR) addresses the physical and technical reality of the asset — verifying geological data, metallurgical testing and classifying resources and reserves. However, the CPR measures what is in the ground; it does not determine financial value. While not strictly mandated for an IPO, IPO candidates routinely commission an independent Valuation Report prepared by a Competent Evaluator in accordance with recognized standards such as VALMIN, CIMVAL or SAMVAL, to assess economic reality. These reports are natural and valuable complements to the CPR for prospectus disclosure and investor confidence.

The valuation must be prepared by an independent Competent Evaluator with at least ten years of general mining experience and five years of recent, direct experience in valuing the specific asset type. The evaluator must also be a qualified member of a Recognized Professional Organization.

Valuation reports help resolve the conundrum regarding the persistent disconnect between NPV in technical reports and the significantly lower market valuations of mining companies. This may appear paradoxical, but the two seemingly similar indications have fundamentally different focuses. The difference comes from the fact that technical reports reflect geologists’ focus - showcase potappear paradoxicalappear paradoxical goes well with the project, while market valuations proxy market participants’ view on a price to pay for the project today given only its hypothetical potential, but also its stage of development and the uncertainties it faces before if ever it reaches production. In other words, market valuations combine geological potential with economics of projects, providing a better perspective that is closer to investor expectations.

A Capital Connection for Central Asian Mining Companies

Where to Next?

Commodity prices are endemically volatile, as are market capitalizations of mining companies. At the same time, both a lower and a higher valuation reflected in a public mining company’s market capitalization are more informative than having no market visibility at all. Investors seek projects; while companies seek capital; stock exchanges serve as the meeting points between the two.

Valuations are not the verdicts but decision-making tools addressing a wide range of needs for both public and private mineral companies and projects — from IPO and M&A pricing support and purchase-price allocations in acquisitions to impairment testing, financial reporting and dispute resolutions.

Physical distance matters less in today’s interconnected financial world. For Central Asian companies seeking capital to develop mining projects, HKEX becomes an interesting choice given the depth of its capital pool and proximity to Chinese commodity end users.

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