Major League Soccer’s World Cup Opportunity

Valuation Outlook

May 29, 2026

Major League Soccer’s World Cup Opportunity

Although much of the economic attention around the 2026 World Cup has been focused on the potential impact across North America, the tournament’s biggest beneficiary may be indirect: Major League Soccer (MLS).

Founded through the U.S.-hosted 1994 World Cup, MLS celebrates its 30-year anniversary on the cusp of becoming an internationally relevant league. But it needs help to get there.

The 2026 World Cup presents a golden opportunity for the league to take the next step toward global relevance. How MLS taps into the event may prove pivotal for its trajectory.

With MLS’ collective bargaining agreement (CBA) set to expire in 2028 and its media rights deal with Apple expiring in 2029, tailwinds from the 2026 World Cup will be crucial for defining future revenue, costs and structure. Much like the WNBA’s recent CBA and media rights deals have contributed to increased franchise valuations, with average franchise value increasing by 59% compared to 2025, the World Cup has the potential to set the stage for foundational CBA and media rights deals.

MLS executives have acknowledged that, beyond fan engagement across the 16 host cities, appealing to the players themselves is key to the league’s growth. The players will be exposed to the U.S. and Canada’s 13 host cities, training on MLS grounds, staying in nearby hotels and playing in some of the league’s stadiums. This immersion could serve as a needed push to attract more talent that will ultimately elevate fan interest.

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The players will be exposed to the U.S. and Canada's host cities, training on MLS grounds, staying in nearby hotels and playing in some of the league's stadiums.

MLS executives, via the New York Times, on the player immersion opportunity

Recent star signings such as Lionel Messi and Son Heung-Min have demonstrated the value of player talent in accelerating viewership, as more franchises take advantage of the designated player rule, introduced in 2007, that enables MLS teams to sign players outside the salary cap.

The MLS’ recognition of next steps for international relevancy is evident with the recent scheduling shift, set to launch in 2027, that will align the MLS’ playing schedule with European leagues. The previous schedule prioritized weather conditions and avoided significant overlap with the NFL but ultimately proved detrimental on a global scale.

$500M

Record expansion fee paid by San Diego F.C.

30

Franchises across the U.S. and Canada

5

Teams valued at $1 billion or more in 2026

 

Source: Forbes

By the Numbers

Although the World Cup’s impact on MLS valuations and popularity cannot be easily predicted, recent World Cup viewership data illustrates clear potential.

U.S. viewership is directly influenced by the host location and the U.S. team’s success, contextualizing drops in viewership during the 2018 World Cup in Russia, which the U.S. missed, and the 2022 World Cup in Qatar that was uncharacteristically played in late fall. The 2014 World Cup in Brazil saw record U.S. viewership, with 76.7 billion minutes watched, as match times largely aligned with U.S. time zones and the U.S. fielded a competitive squad.

There is significant opportunity to expand the supporter base across the 11 U.S. host cities. Fewer than half of residents in each city are classified as soccer fans, with Atlanta, Boston, Philadelphia and Kansas City remaining largely untapped markets.

Americans’ soccer viewership has already been increasing. Each of the last four major international tournaments have enjoyed viewership increases of at least 20.5% compared to the previous iterations. The 2024 Copa America and 2025 UEFA Women’s EURO saw spikes of over 100%. The 2026 World Cup could beat all of them.

 

How the MLS Got Here

Since the 1994 World Cup spurred the establishment of MLS, the league has grown from a developmental project to a legitimately competitive league with 30 teams across the U.S. and Canada. League popularity and quality have steadily grown since inception, with early international stars such as David Beckham paving the way for a more consistent batch of quality signings across the league. Since 2010, the league has nearly doubled in size from 16 to 30 franchises.

The value of league franchises has been skyrocketing as well. San Diego F.C. recently paid a record $500 million expansion fee to become the 30th franchise last year. Meanwhile, a stake in Sporting KC sold earlier this year with an implied enterprise valuation of approximately $700 million. As of the 2026 season, five of the 30 franchises are valued at $1 billion or more. Just six years ago, no team was worth more than $500 million.

In 2022, Spanish midfielder Riqui Puig signed with the LA Galaxy at age 22 from F.C. Barcelona, a transfer that underscored the league’s ascension and transition away from its retirement league reputation. Puig, who was once regarded as a top F.C. Barcelona prospect, has developed into a star in the MLS.

The league’s closed structure, without relegation, differentiates the MLS from major European leagues. Some view this as a detriment. For league franchises, this stability is ultimately what can enable them to attract top talent.

MLS’ smaller American counterpart, the United Soccer League (USL), has long flown under the radar in comparison but made headlines in 2025 for announcing a promotion and relegation structure designed to better compete with the MLS. Through a three-tier league system set to launch in 2028, the USL aims to add intrigue but introduces planning complexities, such as stadium design and unpredictable financials, that the MLS is not structured to absorb.

1996
MLS founded with 10 teams, a direct product of the 1994 World Cup commitment.
2007
Designated Player rule introduced, enabling teams to sign stars outside the salary сар.
2010-2025
League expands from 16 to 30 franchises - early doubling in size.
2022
Spanish midfielder Riqui Puig signs with LA Galaxy at 22, signaling a shift away from the retirement league reputation.
2023
Lionel Messi joins Inter Miami, helping supercharging viewership and franchise valuations.
2027
MLS shifts to a European-aligned match calendar, a clear signal of global ambitions.

Room for Growth

MLS’ franchises have valuation stability akin to other U.S. sports leagues. Although the lack of severe consequences for a poor finish reduces the meaningfulness of some matches, this predictability is crucial for continued franchise valuation growth. The league’s shift toward a European match calendar illustrates its ambitions to become globally relevant without overhauling its structure.

The MLS’ current media rights deal with Apple, which places matches behind the Apple TV paywall, has been controversial for potentially capping exposure for a league that needs viewership to grow. The initial 10-year deal was recently shortened to end three years earlier than planned, and an additional MLS-specific paywall has been removed.

While MLS is unlikely to take major structural risks, having been staunch in keeping a closed league with a fixed salary cap, the 2026 World Cup can make strides influencing viewership, player interest and international attention. This could set the stage for a lucrative CBA and media rights deal that ultimately takes the league to the next level.

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